Division of Forde
| Forde Australian House of Representatives Division | |
|---|---|
Interactive map of boundaries since the 2019 federal election | |
| Created | 1984 |
| MP | Rowan Holzberger |
| Party | Labor |
| Namesake | Frank Forde |
| Electors | 119,198 (2022) |
| Area | 418 km2 (161.4 sq mi) |
| Demographic | Provincial |
The Division of Forde is an Australian Electoral Division in Queensland. The current MP is Rowan Holzberger of the Labor Party.
Geography
[edit]Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]
History
[edit]
The division was created in 1984 and is named after Frank Forde, who was Prime Minister of Australia for seven days in 1945 following the death of John Curtin. When it was created it was a marginal seat in the southern suburbs of Brisbane, but it now has no territory in common with the original seat and is located in exurban and semi-rural areas south of the city, including Beenleigh and Loganlea.
It was a fairly safe seat for the Liberal Party after the 2004 election. Kay Elson announced that she would not re-contest her seat in the 2007 election. Wendy Creighton, a Boonah resident and editor of the local newspaper, the Fassifern Guardian, contested Forde as the Liberal candidate instead. She was defeated at the Federal election by Brett Raguse, the opposing Labor Party candidate, making Forde the safest Liberal Party seat to be claimed by the Labor Party at the 2007 election. The seat returned to the LNP with Bert van Manen in 2010. Incumbent van Manen then held on to the seat during the 2013, 2016, 2019 and 2022 elections.
Ahead of the 2016 federal election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed the seat in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as bellwether electorates.[2] Roy Morgan Research found the Division of Forde to be the least politically involved electorate in Australia, with only 7% of voters interested in political analysis as a type of media content.[3]
Bert van Manen was defeated by Labor candidate Rowan Holzberger at the 2025 federal election.[4] This was the second election contested by Holzberger, the first being in 2022, which he lost by approximately 8,500 votes.
Members
[edit]| Image | Member | Party | Term | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
David Watson (1945–) |
Liberal | 1 December 1984 – 11 July 1987 |
Lost seat. Later elected to the Legislative Assembly of Queensland seat of Moggill in 1989 | |
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|
Mary Crawford (1947–) |
Labor | 11 July 1987 – 2 March 1996 |
Lost seat | |
|
|
Kay Elson (1947–) |
Liberal | 2 March 1996 – 17 October 2007 |
Retired | |
|
Brett Raguse (1960–) |
Labor | 24 November 2007 – 21 August 2010 |
Lost seat | |
.jpg)
|
Bert van Manen (1965–) |
Liberal[a] | 21 August 2010 – 3 May 2025 |
Served as Chief Government Whip in the House under Morrison. Served as the Chief Opposition Whip in the House before losing seat at the 2025 election. | |
|
|
Rowan Holzberger (1973–) |
Labor | 3 May 2025 – present |
Defeated incumbent MP Bert van Manen at the 2025 Australian federal election |
Election results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | Rowan Holzberger | 6,751 | 33.63 | +5.90 | |
| Liberal National | Bert Van Manen | 5,150 | 25.66 | −6.34 | |
| Greens | Kirsty Petersen | 2,893 | 14.41 | +2.83 | |
| One Nation | Matthew Lambert | 2,127 | 10.60 | +1.95 | |
| Family First | Corneliu Pop | 1,226 | 6.11 | +6.11 | |
| Trumpet of Patriots | Jacob Hiscock | 1,066 | 5.31 | +5.31 | |
| Independent | Chris Greaves | 651 | 3.24 | −0.56 | |
| Citizens | Alf De Hombre | 210 | 1.05 | +1.05 | |
| Total formal votes | 20,074 | 92.94 | +1.02 | ||
| Informal votes | 1,525 | 7.06 | −1.02 | ||
| Turnout | 21,599 | 16.11 | |||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal National | Bert van Manen | 34,920 | 36.91 | −6.59 | |
| Labor | Rowan Holzberger | 26,497 | 28.01 | −1.50 | |
| Greens | Jordan Hall | 9,319 | 9.85 | +1.12 | |
| One Nation | Seschelle Matterson | 7,578 | 8.01 | −3.80 | |
| United Australia | Roxanne O'Halloran | 7,485 | 7.91 | +3.87 | |
| Independent | Christopher Greaves | 2,973 | 3.14 | +3.14 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Tobby Sutherland | 2,668 | 2.82 | +2.82 | |
| Animal Justice | Linda McCarthy | 2,444 | 2.58 | +2.58 | |
| TNL | Samuel Holland | 728 | 0.77 | +0.77 | |
| Total formal votes | 94,612 | 93.22 | −2.14 | ||
| Informal votes | 6,884 | 6.78 | +2.14 | ||
| Turnout | 101,496 | 85.23 | −4.26 | ||
| Two-party-preferred result | |||||
| Liberal National | Bert van Manen | 51,311 | 54.23 | −4.37 | |
| Labor | Rowan Holzberger | 43,301 | 45.77 | +4.37 | |
| Liberal National hold | Swing | −4.37 | |||
indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.Notes
[edit]- ^ Member of the Liberal National Party of Queensland sitting with the federal parliamentary Liberal Party.
References
[edit]- ^ Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
- ^ The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
- ^ "The 10 most (and least) politically engaged electorates". Roy Morgan. Archived from the original on 28 August 2017. Retrieved 4 July 2017.
- ^ Green, Antony (3 May 2025). "Forde Federal Election 2025 Results". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Archived from the original on 4 May 2025. Retrieved 4 May 2025.
{{cite news}}:|archive-date=/|archive-url=timestamp mismatch; 3 May 2025 suggested (help) - ^ Forde, QLD, 2025 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
- ^ Forde, QLD, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.